Spss, Econometrics, Statistics Assignment, Stata, Time Series

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Time series analysis is a specific way of analyzing a sequence of data points collected over an interval of time. Such analysis focuses primarily on addressing the structure of the underlying process in order to make predictions, which can be used in finance, the stock market, economics, health, and others. Sometimes time series have more than one variable we can also say multivariate time series.

Data science plays a pivotal role in estimating and optimizing these predictive models, by making use of various statistical techniques:

Baseline Models

  • Trend fitting
  • Seasonal decomposition
  • Autocorrelation
  • ARIMA / SARIMA models
  • AR Model
  • ARIMAX Model
  • SARIMAX
  • Smoothing
  • Autocorrelation and Partial Autocorrelation Analysis

Advanced Model

  1. NBeats
  2. DeepAR
  3. Transformer
  4. Facebook Prophet Model
  5. RNN and LSTM
  6. RandomForest
  7. Exponential Smoothing
  8. BATS and TBATS
  9. FFT
  10. LightGBModel
  11. XGBModel
  12. NHITS Model
  13. TransformerModel
  14. NLinear Model
  15. kalmanForecaster
  16. Regression Analysis
  17. Accuracy & Testing

Evaluation Matrix

  1. Mean Absolute Error
  2. Mean Absolute Percentage Error
  3. Mean Square Error
  4. Mean Absolute Scale Error
  5. Scaled Mean Absolute Error

will use depending on the nature of the data and the problem.

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